Population Growth and Economic Development: Test for Causality
doi: https://doi.org/10.35536/lje.2006.v11.i2.a4
Khalid Mushtaq
Abstract
This paper examines the existence of a long-run relationship between population and per capita income in Pakistan for the period 1960-2001 using cointegration analysis. Unit root results show that population is integrated of order zero while per capita income is integrated of order one; further, Johansen’s procedure show that no long-run cointegrating relationship exists. Thus, population growth neither causes per capita income growth nor is caused by it. A corollary is that population growth neither stimulates per capita income growth nor reduces it.
Keywords
Pakistan, population growth, economic development, per capita income